Shirt Levels

How many more team orders the shirts on the shelf can fill, and how to divide the next run. Everything here is counted from what has actually shipped (os_supply_movements) rather than forecast — but a few weeks of orders is a short look, and nobody knows yet how the run on sizes will really play out. Read the numbers as a steer, not a prediction. What they are good for is spotting the size that thins out first, because a design can look comfortable on the total and still be short in the one size a coach needs.

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Assumptions

change these — everything below recalculates

Teams still to supply Safety buffer % Run quantity shirts Unit price $

What is measured here, and what is not

Measured: every figure on a card marked measured comes from shirts that actually left the shelf — the movement ledger, which has recorded every drawdown since Aug 19 2026, when the automatic drawdown shipped. Before that date on_hand only ever moved because somebody typed it. The weekly burn, the per-team rate and the size mix all come off that one ledger, so they cannot disagree with each other.

Checked once, on Sep 8 2026: the ledger was reconciled three separate ways — against the order lines (48 shipped + 12 delivered = the 60 it reported), per-SKU against per-week totals, and size by size against a three-week-old stock count, six sizes for six. That is why these numbers can be ordered against. It was a one-time check, not a standing guarantee.

Thin, and the page says so on every row. A per-team rate is a mean over teams, so what matters is how many teams have been observed. Any size resting on fewer than eight shirts is flagged amber, and those are usually the sizes that are short — so the gap is the least certain figure on the page.

Not measured: a card reads not measured yet until at least ten separate orders have carried that design. Boy shirts ride the second kit order, which fires when registration closes around practice 3–4, so the Program Shirt sits below that floor for most of a season. It shows the historical size shape, refuses to state a gap, and promotes itself the moment real orders arrive.

Re-sends are the one thing that could make this page understate. A replacement shirt mailed when one is lost or the wrong size would drain stock invisibly if it were handled ad hoc rather than as an order line. The Sep 8 size-by-size match is evidence it had not happened up to then; it is not a guarantee it cannot.

And running out is a substitution, not a failure. A coach who cannot be given a Coach shirt in his size gets the Program shirt in that size instead, so a thin coach size means a coach in a boys'-design shirt rather than a coach with no shirt. Nothing on this page is urgent.